+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Thatch
Switch Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.7 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.36 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Thatch
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Thatch Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Thatch Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Thatch Tactics
Veteran"Experienced grappler with a strong ground game and decent striking defense."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."