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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Girtz

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.5 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
47% Strike Defense 51%
5.76 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Girtz
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Girtz Takedown Defense
▲ Girtz Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Girtz Tactics

Veteran

"Brandon Girtz is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but may struggle with grappling defense against more aggressive opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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