+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Penn
Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.76 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
1.19 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
74% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Penn
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Penn Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Penn Tactics
Veteran"BJ Penn is a seasoned grappler with a strong submission game, but his striking defense and takedown accuracy have declined with age."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."