+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Penn
Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
VS
Nelson
Switch Grappler
70" Reach 72"
2.76 Strikes Landed/Min 1.77
56% Strike Defense 48%
1.19 Takedowns/15Min 2
74% Takedown Defense 68%
Win Probability
Penn
48%
Nelson
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Nelson ▲
▲ Penn Striking Volume —
▲ Penn Strike Defense —
— Grappling Output Nelson ▲
— Win Rate Nelson ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu VS Grappler
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Penn Tactics
Veteran"BJ Penn is a seasoned grappler with a strong submission game, but his striking defense and takedown accuracy have declined with age."
Nelson Tactics
Veteran"Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with a strong submission game and solid wrestling skills, but his striking is not his strong suit."