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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Fabinski

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
2.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
7.1 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
80% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Fabinski
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Fabinski Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Fabinski Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Fabinski Tactics

Veteran

"Bartosz Fabinski is a grappling specialist with excellent takedown numbers, but his striking defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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