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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Vanderford

Orthodox Wrestling
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
3.04 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
3.08 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Vanderford
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Vanderford Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Vanderford Takedown Defense
▲ Vanderford Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Wrestling VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Vanderford Tactics

Contender

"Austin Vanderford is a skilled grappler with a high output and decent defense, but his striking skills are a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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