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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Arnett

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
4.52 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.44 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
57% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Arnett
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Arnett Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Arnett Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Arnett Tactics

Veteran

"Austin Arnett is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but his grappling defense leaves room for improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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