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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Carvalho

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
3.03 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
64% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Carvalho
53%
Gaethje
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Carvalho Strike Defense
▲ Carvalho Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Carvalho Tactics

Elite

"Antonio Carvalho is a highly skilled striker with a strong chin and aggressive fighting style, but his grappling skills are non-existent and leave him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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