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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Alves

Southpaw Unknown
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.5 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
30% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
53% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Alves
37%
Gaethje
63%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Unknown VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Alves Tactics

Journeyman

"Amilcar Alves is a struggling fighter with limited striking and grappling skills, and his record suggests he may not be a top contender."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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