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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Sarnavskiy

N/A Kickboxing, Hand-to-hand combat
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.43 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
42% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
75% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Sarnavskiy
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Kickboxing, Hand-to-hand combat VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Sarnavskiy Tactics

Veteran

"Alexander Sarnavskiy is a seasoned striker with a strong jab, but his grappling defense has been solid as well."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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