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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gilpin

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
6.8 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
42% Strike Defense 51%
2.17 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gilpin
50%
Gaethje
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Gilpin Grappling Output
▲ Gilpin Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gilpin Tactics

Veteran

"Alex Gilpin is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking background, but may struggle with takedown defense against more aggressive opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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