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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Da Silva

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.14 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
1.97 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
76% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Da Silva
52%
Gaethje
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Da Silva Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Da Silva Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Da Silva Tactics

Elite

"Alex Da Silva is a highly skilled striker with a strong record, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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