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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Caceres

Southpaw Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
4.21 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.54 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
64% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Caceres
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Caceres Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Caceres Strike Defense
▲ Caceres Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Caceres Tactics

Elite

"Alex Caceres is a well-rounded fighter with a strong background in both striking and grappling, making him a formidable opponent in the UFC."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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