+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Diaz
Southpaw Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.48 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
2.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Diaz
42%
Gaethje
58%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Diaz Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Diaz Tactics
Veteran"Adrian Diaz is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to submissions."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."