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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Meredith

N/A Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.63 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
7.89 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Meredith
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Meredith Takedown Defense
▲ Meredith Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Meredith Tactics

Prospect

"Adam Meredith is a prospect with strong grappling metrics, including a 100% takedown defense and a 7.9 average takedown per fight, suggesting he may be a skilled grappler."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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