+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Nurmagomedov
Orthodox Sambo
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.78 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
65% Strike Defense 51%
1.25 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
88% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Nurmagomedov
49%
Gaethje
51%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Nurmagomedov Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Nurmagomedov Strike Defense —
▲ Nurmagomedov Takedown Defense —
▲ Nurmagomedov Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Sambo VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Nurmagomedov Tactics
Veteran"Abubakar Nurmagomedov is a veteran fighter with decent striking metrics, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him a more one-dimensional fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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